28 Apr
2004
28 Apr
'04
3:54 a.m.
"S. Alexander Jacobson"
assuming Moore's law lasts
I suspect Moore's law is dead or dying. Intel just announced the latest "Prescott" P4 at 3.6 GHz, up from 3.2 last June. That's only a 12.5% increase. One year before that, it was about 2.5GHz, or almost 30%. I didn't recheck, but I think that in the PII and PIII period, the increase was about 50% every year. Interestingly, none of the other chipmakers seem to be doing much better either. But apart from that, your points are valid. :-) -kzm PS: Okay, that was perhaps off topic even for -cafe. -- If I haven't seen further, it is by standing in the footprints of giants